Alexander Green is back with a new stock presentation and this time he's teasing a company he's calling the "King Of LNG."
Green claims it has a chance to go from $30 to $280 and is the result of "Putin's stupidity."
There is one major problem, though - he won't reveal the stock unless you buy his newsletter.
I have good news.. I was able to figure out the name of the stock based on the clues he left behind.
I reveal the stock below along with information on the company so you can determine if it's worth buying.
I also give you an overview of the newsletter Green is ultimately trying to sell you.
Let's get started!
King Of LNG Summary
Creator: Alexander Green
Stock: Flex LNG
Price (11-29-2022): $36
The stock being recommended by Alexander Green is Flex LNG which is a LNG tanker company.
The idea is Putin won't be selling Europe and other countries gas so there's an opportunity for natural gas companies to fill the void.
Flex LNG is a good company but likely isn't going to get any extra business from the gas shortages in Europe.
They already have deals in place for most of their fleet for the next 2 to 10 years.
It's not like they can create more boats out of thin air (they cost $200 million each).
There's a high dividend 10% and should hold steady for the next few years.
The gains Green is promising are likely overstated by quite a bit.
Still worth considering, though.
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The New King Of LNG Overview
Alexander Green is out with a new teaser proclaiming there's a "new king of LNG."
LNG stands for liquid natural gas so this stock has to do with the natural gas industry.
Let's breakdown the clues in this presentation to determine what company Alexander is talking about.
Winter Is Coming (For Europe)
The stock presentation starts out explaining the current predicament that Europe is facing this winter.
In a stupid move Europe became independent on Russian gas and Putin will not be selling oil to Europe this winter.
As a result there's gas shortages and energy bills are going through the roof:
The situation seems to be getting out of hand as small businesses are getting electric bills that are too much to pay.
At this point Alexander Green begins to explain why this is all a big mistake for Russia and it will create big opportunities for investors.
He has one company in mind that he believes will go from $30 to $280 in the future.
Europe Will Have To Rely On America For Gas
Green continues to explain the trouble Europe is in with their natural gas prices at an all time high.
He shows this chart to show the massive difference in price between Europe gas prices and American:
Alexander claims companies will be using arbitrage to make a profit off of this gas difference.
Arbitrage is when you buy something cheap in one place and sell it for a profit in a place where it's more expensive.
So it sounds to me like Green is hinting at a company that will be able to do this.
Natural Gas Is Hard To Transport From America
America is natural gas rich and we have the technology to get the gas out of the earth.
In fact, we produce the most natural gas in the world.
BUT it's a difficult process getting natural gas from America to Europe.
Natural gas needs to be stored at minus 260 degrees and there's no pipelines from America to Europe.
So it all needs to be shipped by boat.
On top of this much of the natural gas literally evaporates on its journey.
New Technology Makes It Easier
Because of the inefficiencies of transporting gas, tankers would only make around $15,000 per day according to Green.
However, new technology has made this process much easier and more profitable.
Tankers can transport hundreds of millions in natural gas now and they have the technology to keep the gas cool.
Additionally, there's been advancements to prevent the gas from evaporating.
Alexander Green believes there's one company that's going to benefit from this the most.
So now we know the company Green is hinting at will be transporting LNG from America to Europe.
One Company Green Believes Will Capitalize
It's at this point in the presentation Green begins dropping hints about the company.
Here's some clues he leaves:
- Built 13 LNG ships between 2018 to 2021
- Quote from the CEO saying "Europe has been gobbling up LNG spot cargos on an unprecedented level"
- Profit has grown 2400% in their latest earnings
- Has a 10% dividend
- 12 ships are under fixed contracts with LNG prices locked in for up to 10 years
- Profits were $8.1 million in 2020 and now are $202 million
- $284 million cash balance in case of emergency
- A stock price around $30
So this is more than enough information to figure out the stock.
I was able to find the quote of the CEO claiming "Europe has been gobbling up LNG spot cargos on an unprecedented level" in this article.
The CEO is named Oystein Kalleklev and he's the CEO of Flex LNG.
All the other clues match up perfectly with this company as well.
Their stock is around $30, they have a 10% dividend and earnings were $202 million.
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Is Flex LNG Worth Investing In?
So now you know that the company Green is pushing is Flex LNG and you've heard Green's very positive spin on the company.
Here's an overview of what I was able to find on Flex LNG so you can decide if it's worth investing in.
Founded 15 Years Ago
Flex LNG was founded 15 years ago and is funded by a man named John Frederiksen who is worth over 11 billion dollars.
The company owns 13 LNG tankers now and 12 of them have long term charter contracts.
They Do Have A Lot Of Debt
One of the big problems in the LNG shipping world is the price to build a new tanker.
The average cost is now around $200 million!
Because most of these ships Flex LNG owns are new they had to spend a lot and take on a lot of debt to get them.
This debt should be manageable for the time being because they have so many long term contracts.
But if LNG ships are in less demand in 5 to 10 years they might have to pay higher rates on their debt which means less profit per vessel.
This won't be a problem for a few years, though.
So you can buy the stock now and sell in a few years before any of this happens.
Don't Expect A Boom From Russia's War
The idea you can make money from the blunders of the dastardly Putin is mostly just a fantasy, though.
Stock pickers like to create these stories to sell the stock picks and it's just meant to keep your attention.
In reality it'll be hard to profit off of the increase in LNG exports for quite some time.
The reason is LNG infrastructure is costly and takes time to build.
The ships used to transport these resources cost hundreds of millions and the export facilities take multiple years to build.
You can't just snap your finger and have more LNG ships and export facilities.
Many of the new deals as the result of the Russian/Ukrainian war won't go into effect until 2026.
So if you're going to invest in Flex LNG do so based on what the company is now and not this war - Flex won't be profiting off it for a long time.
The company also pays a healthy dividend at 10% that could climb as high as 15%.
John Frederiksen is known to pay out bigger dividends.
As one commentator points out, though, these aren't dividends you want to reinvest back into the stock.
Because of the high debt and the current market LNG stocks might not be buy and hold stocks.
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The Oxford Communique Facts
In the end Green is withholding the name of Flex LNG because he wants to sell you his newsletter The Oxford Communique.
Here's what you should know if you're thinking about buying the newsletter:
1) A Horrible Company Owns Oxford Club
There's a major red flag with Oxford Club - it's owned by a horrible company called Agora.
Agora at one point was the biggest distributor of investing newsletters and was making $500 million in revenue.
However, a lot of the publishers have fled this company and it seems to be going down.
You shouldn't shed a tear for the loss of Agora, though.
They've done some pretty horrible things like defrauding senior citizens a couple years ago:
Additionally, Agora sales funnels are very aggressive.
If you were to buy Oxford Communique you will get bombarded with promotions every single day and many of which will cost thousands of dollars.
It's extremely annoying to deal with.
2) Is Oxford Communique Legit?
While the company that owns this newsletter is scummy I actually like Oxford Communique.
It's rare for me to recommend anything from Agora but this newsletter is pretty good.
I've covered a bunch of their stock picks in the past and most of them end up doing pretty well.
For example, Alex recommended Fulgent Genetics during covid and the stock crushed it:
The stock was only $16 when recommended and shot all the way up over $150 in less than a year.
Bet you wished you invested in this stock then!
3) How Much Is The Oxford Communique?
The Oxford Communique is very affordable too and is only $49 per year.
That's a excellent price for what you're getting.
The only thing to look at for is the upsells after you buy.
Oxford is going to try to milk you for everything they can and sell you products that cost thousands.
4) Is There A Refund Policy?
Yes you get a year to get your money back.
But it's ony $49 so if you're getting your money back it's likely because you lost a lot of money.
Another thing to keep in mind is Oxford doesn't do refunds on expensive products.
So if you do fall for one of the upsells you won't be getting your money back.
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Alright so that's the end of my article of The King LNG stock presentation from Alexander Green.
You now know the stock is Flex LNG and you know why Green likes it so much.
You also got my thoughts on the company and a breakdown of important details about Flex.
In the end the stock is definitely interesting although Green overhypes it.
This is what stock pickers do, however.
You have to research the companies and industries to see the things the stock picker isn't mentioning.
Whether you should invest is up to you now!
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