Extreme Value is an investing newsletter headed by Dan Ferris.
He claims he's predicted major market events in the past and has a track record like no other..
Is he telling the truth or is this all one big scam?
We'll get to the bottom of that in this review.
Additionally, we'll investigate any red flags, look at stock performance of Dan Ferris and you'll get an overview of what's being offered.
You'll know if Extreme Value is worth it by the time you're done.
Let's get started!
Dan Ferris Extreme Value Summary
Creator: Dan Ferris
Price to join: $1200 for first year, $1500 per year after
Do I recommend? It depends
Overall rating: 3.5/5
Extreme value is a pretty good investing newsletter and has a long track record of success.
If you're looking for safe, smart investments this newsletter can definitely work for you.
However, it's very expensive.
There's alternatives that perform as well and give similar picks that cost a fraction of the price.
Plus Extreme Value is owned by a larger corporation that is very aggressive with their upsells.
You'll have to decide if this newsletter is worth getting bombarded with promotional emails everyday.
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The Major Red Flag With Extreme Value
Before we get into stock performance and what you get, you should know how Extreme Value works - and why it's a big red flag.
Extreme Value is owned by Stansberry Research which in turn is owned by a publicly traded corporation called Marketwise.
Here's a few reasons why this is a red flag:
The good thing about Marketwise being a publicly traded company is you can look at their financial details.
They're absolutely massive and make over $100 million revenue every quarter.
They'll likely have revenue over $500 million this year.
The only way you can reach these insane numbers is if you promote to your current subscribers around the clock.
And that's exactly what all Marketwise publishers do.
Every single day you'll be promoted expensive products from all the Marketwise publishers.
This leads to a bigger problem - Marketwise employs legitimate criminals.
Many Scammers At Marketwise
The issue of being cross promoted products from other Marketwise publishers is many of these publishers are headed by scam artists.
And I don't mean people I suspect are scammers - I mean verifiable scammers.
For example, Louis Navellier heads InvestorPlace, which is under the Marketwise umbrella.
A couple years ago Louis was fined $30 million for defrauding investors!
Louis made up information about a company to get people to buy a stock - the worst thing you can do as a stock picker.
Any reputable company wouldn't associate with a guy like this.
If you buy Extreme Value you can expect to get marketed Louis' newsletters (some of which cost tens of thousands per year).
Another horrible character you'll be marketed to is Teeka Tiwari.
Teeka was involved in so many fraudulent endeavors he's literally banned from working on Wall Street!
Marketwise will tell you he's a trusted expert that you need to buy from.
Are these people you really want to give your money to?
One last point before we move on - most of the newsletters at Marketwise used to be a part of a massive company called Agora.
Agora is almost universally hated because of the way they market.
They were sued in the past for misleading senior citizens with deceptive marketing.
The same is happening at Marketwise.
Marketwise uses very hyped up stock presentations to get you to buy their services.
They use all the tricks in the book to get you to buy.
This can mean using fear, manipulation, hype and more to get you to buy.
Don't fall for the marketing and instead make your stock decisions based on sober analysis, not emotion and fear.
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Dan Ferris Stock Picking Performance
The only thing that really matters about a stock picker is if they can pick good stocks.
All other experience is secondary.
Here's a look at how some of Dan's stock picks in the past have done:
inTEST In June 2021
inTEST is a stock that Dan Ferris teased for months back in the summer of 2021.
He claimed it was a stock that's connected to the EV market and then later marketed it as "the smallest Extreme Value recommendation in 7 years."
Apparently they make semiconductor test products, so their value is tied to the chip market.
There has been a chip shortage the last year and I'm guessing that's hurt the stock price quite a bit.
Dan recommends holding his positions for 3 to 5 years so there's time for this stock to recover.
So far it's off to a rough start, though.
CTS In June 2021
Again in June Dan ran a teaser hyping up his two favorite EV stocks.
The first was inTest which we just looked at - the second is CTS.
A large part of CTS revenue comes from supplying automotive companies with auto parts.
This includes accelerator modules, braking systems, sensors and they're expanding more into EV.
The stock hasn't moved too much in the last year but is up overall:
This one has definitely done better than inTEST.
Sprott In February 2021
Sprott is a company that A LOT of stock pickers like to tease and Dan teased it as his "#1 stock of all time."
He even went on to say if he "had to put all his money in one stock" it would be Sprott.
Sprott is an asset management that focuses on natural resources.
It comes with royalties that are around 3% as well.
Here's how this asset has performed since early 2021:
This stock has done pretty well.. it's been a tough year for stocks and this one hasn't gone down.
Plus you were able to earn the royalties.
Brown And Brown In August 2020
Brown and Brown is a large insurance agency and broker.
Dan Ferris calls this the "best business on earth" and many argue insurance is indeed the best business.
At the time of recommendation Dan called this a "low risk shot at 1550%."
So did it live up to the hype?
It's done very well over the last couple of years and doesn't seem to have signs of slowing down.
Waste Management In June 2020
Back when lockdowns from covid-19 were just getting started Dan put out this stock teaser.
He claimed "pandemic or not, the trash trucks will keep coming."
The company he was hinting at was Waste Management.
It turns out that trash does need to be picked up during a pandemic because it's done really well.
So as you can see Dan recommends solid stocks and has done well even in volatile times like now.
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What Does Extreme Value Offer?
Extreme Value is a very typical investing newsletter and offers what a lot of other investing services offer.
Here's a breakdown of each section:
Monthly Issues Of Extreme Value
This is pretty much what you're paying for.
Every month you'll get a new issue of Extreme Value where you'll get new investment ideas.
In addition to a write up about the new stock and investment idea you'll get a video detailing the new opportunity.
Dan claims the goal is to at least double your money.
If you look at some of the stocks in the last section you'll see most are common sense investments like gold ETF's, garbage pick up, insurance, etc.
Dan is known for recommending stocks that need some time to develop as well.
So expect to hold on to these recommendations for years.
Additionally, you'll get market updates and commentary.
This is the other main part that you're paying for.
Once you sign up you'll get access to the model portfolio which comes with a bunch of open positions.
You can expect a couple dozen stocks in the portfolio.
You'll also get buy prices and information on the stock.
Sometimes you'll need updates before the monthly issue of Extreme Value goes out.
This is where the email updates come in.
Every Tuesday you'll get an email update from Dan that covers the portfolio and any news effecting the stocks.
You'll also get buy and sell recommendations here.
The last thing you can expect with your membership to Extreme Value is education and training videos.
This includes interviews, special reports and recommended readings.
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Extreme Value FAQ's
Still have some questions about this newsletter?
Here's answers to any remaining questions you might have.
1) Is The Price Fair For Extreme Value?
No I don't think so.
I actually like Extreme Value a lot and I like the investing style too.
However, you don't really need to pay thousands a year to get recommended Sprott and Waste Management.
These are stocks that many other investing services recommend for much cheaper.
So I think it's overpriced for what you're getting.
2) Is There A Refund Policy?
It's a really, really bad refund policy.
Extreme Value only comes with a credit refund - meaning you don't get money back.
Instead you only get a credit that you can use to buy other Stansberry products.
This is very lame and something a lot of stock pickers do.
3) Is Dan Ferris Legit?
I don't really care about the resume of these stock pickers - it's hard to even tell who's telling the truth about their past and who's just making things up.
Everyone always refers to themselves as the best.
What matters is if they can pick good stock picks or not.
4) How Much Do I Need To Invest?
Dan claims that $5000 is a good number.
I think that's fine if you're younger but if you're planning for retirement you'll likely want much more.
You'll also want more money to invest in the stock recommendations every month.
You'll likely want at least $500 for each new stock pick.
5) What Kind Of Stocks Are Recommended?
This newsletter claims to help you find discounted stocks that will be worth more in a few years.
The main focus seems to be in natural resource stocks and things of that nature.
However, not all stock picks are going to be in natural resources.
For example, Dan recommended microchip stocks, trash removal stocks and more.
Most of the stocks are from solid and dependable companies.
6) Are There Similar Newsletters?
Yes, there's plenty of very similar newsletters.
Some of them include:
- Stansberry Investment Advisory
- True Wealth
- Strategic Investor
- The Distortion Report
- Hidden Alpha
- Safe Money Report
- Behind The Markets
- Palm Beach Letter
There's plenty more that are very similar as well.
Dan is actually out with a new newsletter called The Ferris Report.
The investments are very similar and it's made for the current markets.
It's much cheaper too and can be found for $49.
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Extreme Value Pros And Cons
Extreme Value Conclusion
Hope you found my review of Extreme Value helpful!
I'm a harsh reviewer and look for any flaws I can find - in the end I don't want you to lose money to these stock picking millionaires.
If I had to summarize Extreme Value in one sentence it would be this:
A good, quality investment letter that makes good stock picks but is too expensive.
Do I think it's a horrible idea to buy this newsletter despite its expensive price tag?
No, I don't.
You'll still make money if you buy despite the cost.
Just realize there's plenty of alternatives that are cheaper and just as good.
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